The ICC arrest warrant for former President Rodrigo Duterte couldn’t have come at a worse time for President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.’s political agenda, especially with the 2025 elections looming. This development is likely to garner sympathy for Duterte, potentially boosting his popularity and, by extension, that of his allies, including Marcos.
The timing of the arrest warrant is also unfortunate for Marcos, as it may distract from his administration’s accomplishments and message. Moreover, the impeachment of Vice President Sara Duterte, who is also the daughter of the former president, may further complicate matters for Marcos.
The potential fallout from these events could be significant, with some experts suggesting that the arrest warrant and impeachment could lead to a surge in support for Duterte and his allies. This could, in turn, impact the outcome of the 2025 elections, potentially altering the political landscape of the Philippines.
It’s worth noting that the ICC’s investigation into Duterte’s war on drugs has been ongoing for several years, and the arrest warrant is seen as a significant step towards holding him accountable for alleged crimes against humanity. However, the timing of the warrant’s issuance has undoubtedly added a complex layer to the Philippines’ political landscape.