CAGAYAN DE ORO CITY, Philippines – An independent poll survey conducted by Xavier University – Ateneo de Cagayan’s Kinaadman: University Research Office (KURO) has reveled the top issues voters wish local officials to address, as well as the local candidates they believe can solve these for them.
Xavier Ateneo’s KURO survey also asked respondents to identify major barangay-level issues in Cagayan de Oro City.
Voters Top Concerns
Livelihood or income-generating projects (26.8%), followed by employment and jobs (23.9%) surfaced as the top Economic issues identified by 25.3 percent of the survey respondents, followed by Peace and Order (22.7%), Local Governance (12.3%), Basic Services (16%) and Environment (11.1%).
For Peace and Order, the top concerns identified were (1) illegal drugs, (2) illegal parking of trucks and other vehicles, (3) traffic jam, and (4) theft and robbery.
Meanwhile, (1) corruption at the city level, (2) implementation of barangay ordinances, and (3) corruption at the barangay level came out as the primary issues under the Local Governance category.
Respondents named canals and drainage as the top issues in Basic Services, followed by lack of water supply and roads.
The top three Environmental Concerns were (1) garbage disposal or waste management, followed by (2) sanitation and (3) cleanliness of seashores, rivers, and/or creeks.
The XU-KURO survey used a systematic random sampling in the selection of households. The sample size of 800 was allocated proportionately to Districts 1 and 2.
The survey was conducted among 800 registered voters in the city from April 4 to 11, a week after the start of the campaign period for the local elections.
As in all past poll surveys by KURO, this research was fully funded by Xavier University – Ateneo de Cagayan.
A second survey will be conducted by KURO closer to the election date, with an expected release date on the first week of May.
Following the presentation of the top concerns of voters at the barangay level, KURO Deputy Director Dr. Astrid L. Singco presented the voting preferences of the survey respondents for local officials at the executive, local and national legislative levels.
While stressing the survey was more an academic exercise designed to direct candidates for local officials to address top concerns as perceived by voters through the survey respondents, she also emphasized how a similar survey conducted by their office during the last local elections in 2016 correctly picked the 95% of the winning candidates preferred by the survey respondents.
Voters Preferences 2019
At the mayoralty level, survey results showed incumbent City Mayor Oscar Moreno of Partido Demokratiko Pilipino – Lakas ng Bayan (PDP-Laban) leading Jose Gabriel La Vina of Padayon Pilipino.
Moreno had a voter preference of 61.5%, and a statistical ranking of first place, followed by La Vina with a voter preference of 16.0% and independent candidates Felix Frias Borres (0.6 %,) and Benjamin Tiu Contreras (0.3%.) Undecided voters accounted for 21.4%, while 0.2% had no response. The margin of error was at ±3.4 percentage points with 95% confidence level.
Moreno’s running mate Rainier Joaquin Uy (PDP-Laban) likewise topped voters preference for Vice Mayor with 55.0%, followed by former mayor Vicente Emano (Padayon Pilipino) with 23.6%. Undecided voters accounted for 21.3%, while 0.1% had no response. The margin of error was at ±3.4 percentage points with 95% confidence level.
Voters’ preference for congress representatives
In District 1, incumbent Rolando Uy (PDP-Laban) had a voter preference of 66.1%, followed by Caesar Ian Acenas (Padayon Pilipino) with 16.4% and Gil Banaag (PFP) with 1.9%. Undecided voters were at 15.6%. The margin of error was at ± 4.7 percentage points with 95% confidence level.
In District 2, Rufus Rodriguez (CDP) was picked by of 59.2% of the survey respondents, followed by Alam Lim (PDP-Laban) with 19.4% and Roger Villazorda (PFP) with 0.9%. 15.9% of the voters were undecided, while 3.1% had no response as to their preference for a congressman. The margin of error was at ± 4.7 percentage points with 95% confidence level.
City Council Picks 2019
Of the 13 city councilor contenders with a statistical chance of winning in District 1, 8 came from PDP-Laban while four are from Padayon Pilipino and one from Partido Federal ng Pilipinas (PFP).
Ranked from 1st -to-7th were (in alphabetical order based on surname) Roger Abaday (PDP- Laban), Romeo Calizo (PDP-Laban), Reuben Roa Daba (PDP-Laban), Inday Dahino (PDP- Laban), George Goking (PDP-Laban), Zaldy Ocon (PDP-Laban), and Jay Pascual (PDP- Laban).
In the 8th-to-13th spots were (in alphabetical order based on last name) Jose Pepe Abbu (Padayon Pilipino), Ronald Acenas (Padayon Pilipino), Alden Bacal (Padayon Pilipino), Jundabs Yamut Daba (PDP-Laban), Manny Darimbang (PFP), and Lordan Suan (Padayon Pilipino).
The margin of error was at ± 4.9 percentage points with 95% confidence level.
Voters in the 2nd District also preferred PDP-Laban bets in the city council. Of the 13 candidates with a statistical chance of winning, seven were PDP-Laban, with four from Padayon Pilipino and two from Centrist Democratic Party of the Philippines (CDP).
In rank 1-7 were (in alphabetical order based on surname) Jun Acenas (Padayon Pilipino), . Edgar Cabanlas (PDP-Laban), Malou Gaane (PDP-Laban), Bong Lao (PDP-Laban), Ian Mark Nacaya (PDP-Laban), Eric Salcedo (PDP-Laban), and Ramon Tabor (Padayon Pilipino).
In the 8th-to-13th spots were (in alphabetical order based on last name) Girlie Balaba (PDP- Laban), Suzette Daba (PDP-Laban), Alexander Dacer (Padayon Pilipino), Leon Gan Jr (Padayon Pilipino), James Judith II (CDP), and Bebot Rodriguez (CDP).
The margin of error was at ± 4.7 percentage points with 95% confidence level.
A total of 49 candidates (26 from the First District and 23 from the Second District) are gunning for 16 coveted spots in the city council.
For further clarifications or queries, please contact Kinaadman: University Research Office (KURO) at Xavier Ateneo Main Campus.
Xavier Ateneo as non-partisan
In an April 1 memo to the academic community, Xavier Ateneo president Fr Roberto C Yap SJ iterated, “[The university] participates in a non-partisan way in electoral processes to contribute to the strengthening of democratic and patriotic values as enshrined in the Philippine Constitution.”
Xavier Ateneo aligns with the advocacy for Clean, Honest, Accurate, Meaningful, and Peaceful (CHAMP) elections, and enjoins everyone in the community to practice the Ignatian value of discernment in choosing candidates running for elective posts in government.
The XU Social Development’s Student Involvement and Advocacy Program (SSIAP) is also facilitating the following activities to promote CHAMP principles and values:
Kwentuhang Bayan Series – voters’ education sessions to be conducted in various sectors in the city and in some parts of Northern Mindanao, in collaboration with Simbahang Lingkod ng Bayan;
PAG-ILA: Candidates’ Profiling – in partnership with the City and Provincial COMELEC offices; Electoral forums for local and national candidates; and Election monitoring before, during, and after elections in collaboration with NAMFREL and PPCRV.
Yap stressed: “Xavier Ateneo will maintain its non-partisan stand to facilitate objective and critical thinking and engagement for the academic community. We will actively support electoral programs and activities primarily as convener of the multisectoral LIHUK 2019 movement.” (RMB with a report from Stephen Pedroza/ XU Communications Office)